POLLS SHOWING HILLARY BEHIND NOT TO BE TRUSTED!

I will have to make this post short as I still have lots of work to do with the election rapidly approaching. Polls show that Hillary has lost some ground, most likely due to the questionable comments made by soon to be fired, James Comey. Chances are good he's gone right after the election for this debacle. According to some polls, 45% say this is worse than Watergate, dittoheading Trump from his rallies. Facts are there is nothing to see here yet and, most likely, never will,

First off, the only thing on this computer will be emails to and from Huma Abedin. The reason they are there may be as innoculous as back ups from the cloud, as she has suggested. Even if there are classified materials sent (and there is zero evidence of that even), unless they contain some bombshell information which no email so far has been produced, this will add up to nothing. Huma is still authorized to see classified material, and even if she read the emails on an unsecured computer, she is at fault not Hillary. There is almost no chance this will add anything to the court of public opinion that we don't already know.

Second, October Surprises this far into the election make a lot of waves, but usually barely change the dynamic. The biggest shift was Hurricane Sandy that drove Romney off the stump and the news while Obama got to act Presidental, and even that only added 3% to his totals. Other things like the stock market crash of 2008, W. drunk driving arrest reveal and Osama bin Laden support of Kerry only moved the needle 1% total. Truth is, most people know who they are going to vote for and this is latest nonsense is even less likely to move supporters to or from either candidate.

Recent poll data show Hispanic and Asian voters moving strongly toward Clinton as are women, the LBGTQ community and white people with college educations. However among black people, she is lagging behind as they seem prepared to sit this one out. So let me get this straight, you all voted for Hillary in the primaries overwhelmingly and now are going to sit the big vote off. Fuck you! If you are black and don't vote, don't start crying when black arrests and/or deaths go skyrocketing upward and stop and frisk comes back in a big way. If you aren't voting for Hillary, you are digging your own grave. The same goes for the lukewarm support from Millennials, who thankfully are moving away from losers like Jill Stein and Gary Johnson for Hillary. But there are still too many voting for either who have zero chance of winning.

If they election were held today, Hillary would still win 322 to 2016. Be warned that polls from the LA Times and Remington Research are using questionable data and the support they keep giving Trump seen out of line, They are screwing up the polls as a result, ones that are not being mirrored anywhere else. Hillary is losing some support for the bullshit claims, but if history is a factor, it won't matter much due to early voting (a lot of which early data points toward a Clinton victory overall) and baked in political views. Chances are still around 80% that Hillary wins, a 65% at victory in the Senate and 30% of retaking the House. Thanks God there is only eight more days of this.

DOUCHEBAG OF THE WEEK: JAMES COMEY

I have been following politics for a long time and I have never seen anything like what happened this week. The head of the FBI came out to the public that they uncovered some emails that may or may not have anything to do with Hillary Clinton. And that was it. No context. NO details. Noting but a vague possibility that something allegedly occurred. And that of course sent the media, the candidates and the rest of the world into a frenzy. I am unsure what effect this will have on the race but I am sure that James Comey is either a media whore or the dumbest man on the face of the Earth. Either way, he should be fired for this. Let's see those runner ups.

10)Alec Cook- This douchebag was a student at the University of Wisconsin when he was arrested for the violent rape and strangulation of a fellow student. Then 11 other women came forward saying he had raped them too. It didn't help that incriminating evidence was found in his apartment, that included a kill list and a diary of all the horrible things he had done or fantasized about. Hope he like's prison because chances are good this ass is never getting out.

9)Blue Cat Cafe Protesters- A bunch of Hispanic assholes decided that having a cat cafe in their neighborhood was too much and have held protests as well as vandalized the store and gave death threats to the owner for gentrification. Yeah, cause nothing spells better neighborhoods than getting rid of a failed pinata store (not being racist, it really was that kind of store), replacing it with a place you can have a drink and play with a fuzzy friend, and then telling white people to go to hell. I hate the idea that making a neighborhood better is cultural encroachment. Welcome to progress. Better areas equal higher property values, better schools and less crime. Yes, some will be displaced and the area will change, for the better. I have watched neighborhoods go downhill fast when drug houses move in and crime skyrockets. Let's try the other way for once.

8)Mariah Carey- We can all agree this woman is hot, talented and, without a doubt, nuts. She has had a long line of problems including several failed marriages, stripping live on MTV, various diva like behaviors, and now her super rich fiance has pulled the plug on that idea with allegations of extravagant spending that made even a billionaire wince. She would spend $10,000 A DAY on makeup and hairstyling. She spent $340,000 a week on upkeep for her yacht. That's a lot of money for nothing. For a woman worth half a billion already, she'll be broke by Christmas at this rate.

7)Bundy prosecutors- This week, seven people accused of taking over a wildlife refuge were found not guilty to the surprise of many. I was not one of them. I thought from the beginning that this entire case was shoddy as it stemmed from the arrest of the Bundy's for an arson case after they already served their time and the judge decided to sentence them to more. That seemed very unusual and anti-constitutional. How is that not against the fourth amendment? Prosecutors were shocked that the jury let them go but I wold have done the same. The government overreached with Bundy in the first place and the jury correctly saw it.

6)Newt Gingrich and Rudy Giulani- Tweedle Dee and Tweedle Dum really need a new act because this one is getting old. I seriously suspect them of having some sort of brain damage for the worthless allegations they are throwing around. Rudy has been making the rounds for the last few days overhyping the FBI letter that said nothing, but according to Republicans was worse "than Watergate."So far, it's not. Then we had Newt go off on Megyn Kelly when he accused her of being obsessed with sex because she was focusing on Trump's sex talk tape on not on Bill Clinton's past, which no one cares about. These two can't go away fast enough.

5)Donald Trump- Even with this email thing back in the press, he still didn't have a great week. He's stopped fundraising, had to add ten million of his own money and, unless there really is a bombshell in these new emails, is going to lose and badly at that. He may pick up a point or two, and get back states like Texas and Arizona that he may still lose, but the road to the Electoral College is still almost impossible, especially as 40 million people have a;ready voted. There are only ten days left in this. Thank God.

4)Joe Walsh- The former representative from Illinois made news this week when he idiotically said he would be taking up a musket November ninth if Hillary wins. Yeah, that's mature. It's this kind of idiocy that is spooking world markets, all of whom plummeted with even a hint that Trump may win. Unless there is real proof of widespread vote rigging, which I still doubt will happen here, then we have to accept loss and move on. Taking up arms against the government will just get you killed.

3)Mark Kirk- Running against Tammy Duckworth is an uphill battle. Making racist statements about her Thai heritage is a really bad idea. Dumbass did it anyway when he slammed Duckworth for claiming her ancestors went back to the Revolutionary War stating he didn't remember Thailand helping us win the war. What he didn't know, was Duckworth was half white and her father did indeed have relatives who fought in the war. He apologized the next day but the damage was done and his chances at a win have fallen to about zero. Good.

2)Pentagon- What would have been the top spot this week had Comey not put on his dunce hat, these douches told people who signed up to fight overseas that they could receive tens of thousands of dollars in bonuses. Flash forward ten years and now they want the money back and are threatening those that don't pay with ruining their credit. Needless to say, once the press got a hold of this, the Pentagon suddenly had second thoughts and stopped collections. This is horrific that we put people in harm's way and then screw them again when they get home with VA issues and debt collections. The Pentagon should be ashamed.

1)The FBI/James Comey- These guys have been pretty bad over the past few decades. The anthrax case, the Murrah building, 9/11 and so on. But this latest was either a partisan attack that had no business being aired or rank incompetence by a media whore. Either way, WTF? Comey had no information of anything illegal or even connected to Hillary at all. All of this is thanks to Anthony Weiner who, because he couldn't keep it in his pants, the FBI is investigating for racy texts he sent to a fifteen year old girl. Even thought he is getting a divorce from Huma Aberdin for previous sexual deviance, this latest scandal has thoroughly derailed her career whom she has been with for twenty years. I feel bad for her because this is ultimate regret over who you married as it effectively ended your life as you know it. This will be a bitter divorce. Republicans have made all sorts of hay over this, calling it all sorts of names, even though there so far is nothing scandalous about any of it. But because Comey released this, allegedly because he knew news of this would leak, but did so with the vaguest of responses that actually caused the media to report all sorts of wrong info. None of this should have come out unless the had new info  which they didn't. He was advised not to do this and did it anyway. Huma's career isn't the only one hanging by a thread because I have a feeling after the elections, this guy is getting fired. So congratulation James Comey you are indeed douchebag of the week.

RIGGED POLLS, RIGGED MEDIA AND OTHER THINGS DONALD TRUMP IS NOT WRONG ABOUT!

I hate to say it but Trump's calling out the media and polls as rigged may actually be working. Some of it seems slight of hand and disingenuous, but Hillary has seen a small, yet noticeable drop in the polls these past few days. The media does ignore stories they should be covering. It is the ultimate in hypocrisy when they keep telling us how much they should be trusted while not having any coverage of things like the Dakota Pipeline protest, even when celebrities like Shailene Woodley are being STRIP SEARCHED after their arrest. In this day and age of tabloid media, that should have been everywhere. It wasn't. And that is just one of dozens of stories the media seems incapable of reporting on. But according to them, they're doing a bang-up job. As for polls, my specialty, a new poll has arrived I've never heard of, that seems to be skewering Trump. However, more legitimate polls also show her dropping a point or less nationally and in some swing states. So what is going on with that?

First off, let's talk about the polls. Hillary's daily barrage of emails are not helping, even if there is nothing in them. Fraud James O'Keefe is touting some sort of hit piece about Hillary that I won't even deem to watch at this point as nothing this man has ever done has been correct and I just won't waste my time on something that is almost certainly fiction. But, it may be connecting with the I HATE HILLARY crowd that is understandable. If an orange full diaper wasn't running against her, I might have voted Republican. But I cannot allow this disease of a human to get into the White House. Anyone reading this must vote for Hillary Clinton as Trump is an extinction level event. I get him being a human Molotov but you're burning down the house we all live in with it.

A poll from some Republican company called Remington Research, (where the gun analogy is a little too on the nose guys. Why not just call it Trickle Down Research or Anti-Abortion Inc?) has put out some polls that all suspiciously skew Trump. When looking at their raw data, they have Trump in Florida getting 24% of the black vote, 38% of the Hispanic vote in Florida and 34% of other, which would be mostly Asian. None of these vote totals are even close to any other poll or historical precedent so you have to wonder about the methodology here. One BIG problem I see already is the equal number of democrats, Republicans and Independents (40/40/20)given which is not what the demographics of this state are. The most recent census says Florida is 40/36/20 with four percent going to third part candidates. Therefore, the numbers should be adjusted toward the democrats as the polls they are using are oversampling Republicans by four points from people who are not actually voting for them. This is why Trump is suddenly ahead.

Here's another big problem is that no other poll anywhere has black people voting for Trump above ten percent. Yet, this company says the black vote is consistently in the thirties? Please. Using a Bloomberg poll which also said Trump is ahead as a bellwether, we see that they have the black vote at 10% which is still high. However while this poll did skewer the data correctly for party affiliation, for some inane reason they way oversampled old people, over 65, most of whom will obviously favor Trump. But as Millennials are the largest voting group now, under-sampling them should they decide to show up in droves, which they might considering their intense dislike for Trump, than this poll again is nonsense.

Smart money is on Hillary to win. But, it also seems likely she is losing some support as no new bombshell for Trump has hit in days and the email scandal is daily. Even a steady drop of water can bring down a mighty wall. But let's face facts, that's probably not going to happen. That being said, Trump is not wrong about everything. The AT&T merger is bad idea. The Democrats rigged the primaries for Hillary (and will probably do so again at the national level if she somehow falls behind). Our media lies to us with alarming regularity. Can someone explain to me how we can have a .3% Social Security increase, when just a few days later we find out premiums for health insurance is going up an average of 25% across the board? It isn't possible yet our media has said not one word about it. Instead we hear about morons dressing up like clowns, the latest food craze and how school children in Idaho are saving money to make a quilt for homeless people. I don't care. Report the news, the ACTUAL news, for once guys because if Trump is as smart as he thinks he is, starting a media empire may not be such a bad idea, if he can find one that will expose this country for what it is: corrupt beyond words and incapable of change. He may be a terrible president but he can still be the Molotov cocktail we need if he can burn down the government and corporate malfeasance without destroying is all.

ELECTION UPDATE: TRUMP STILL ANGLING TO LOSE BIG!

My posts will be spotty for the next few weeks as the combination of my day job analyzing poll numbers combined with a deadline for other projects, like my almost finished book, take precedent. But today, we can talk about not if Trump will lose but by how much. I know some of you are screaming about the polls being wrong, just like some did in 2012 to hilarious results, but Hillary Clinton has a 90% chance of being the next president. So, unless polling data is way off, which there is a slight chance of, Trump is going to lose worse than any Republican since Bob Dole.

How bad is it? Texas is now in play. TEXAS! Romney carried Texas by over twenty points and Trump is barely registering there. Now mind you, some of that is because of changing demographics that is going to turn the state purple over time, but it's not there yet and still Trump is struggling. Rush Limbuagh, Karl Rove and Bill Kristol have all said that they screwed up not believing the polls in 2012 and are not going to make that same mistake again.

As Minnesota has moved into the lean Clinton node, if the election were held today, Clinton would have 272 solid votes for president and that is not including eight swing states like Ohio and Florida. Add in swing states she is likely to carry and that number rises to 333. If we go further and give her the rest of the swing states she might carry and that number is a staggering 396 votes, a feat that would be the worst defeat since Mondale. The funny part is that is more likely than a Trump win.

Trump is going to have a historic loss with women, college educated white men, black people, Latinos and the youngest voters. Trump has to hope that white non-college educated voters show up in droves because he would have to capture 80% of that vote (as well as depressed voting from potential Hillary voters who stayed home) and that seems outside the realm of possibility. The most likely scenario is that Trump voters stay home, either because they think the election is rigged or because they hate Trump AND Hillary, while Hillary voters show up en masse to either show their support or just to vote against Trump (the category I am in). If this does take place as polls suggest (democrats typically move toward the candidate late in the election process and away from Stein and Johnson, both of whom are in free fall), the Senate and even the House could be up for grabs.

The Senate looks likely as Illinois and Wisconsin are likely to go blue, meaning they only need two states out of the eight that are left to get control. NH, PA, NV, NC and even Missouri and Indiana are in play. The House will be harder as they will probably get twenty seats but need ten more for control. If Republicans angry at Trump sit this one out, Democrats have a shot at it.

The long and the short of it is there will be little chance of vote rigging, as the last two presidential elections showed no sign of tampering as why would you need to swing a vote going your way. Hillary will do much the same which will be truly funny when Trump starts screaming about a rigged election and there is no proof of it at all.

Get out and vote blue. Give the democrats all the rope to hang themselves with. They will only have two years before the pendulum swings the other way in 2018 so if they get cracking, they may be able to fix a lot which wrong with the country. If they do, and things do get better for everyone, the GOP will be regulated to the dustbin of history.

DOUCHEBAG OF THE WEEK: JOHN MCCAIN!

I know, shocker that the top spot isn't going to Trump, both McCain out did himself this week for behaving like the traitor he is. He is a disgrace to every man or woman who has worn the uniform of this country and the fact that dumbasses are voting for this asshole to go back into Congress proves that democracy doesn't work anymore. What a loser. Let's see those runner ups.

10)Rodrigo Duterte- If anyone wants a primer on what a Trump presidency would be like, look no further than the Philippines and this douche. The President has been spewing a non stop flow of shit that has come out of his mouth on such a regular basis I would guess his asshole has disappeared. This week he stepped in it hard when he said, idiotically, that the country would be better off dealing with Iran and Russia as trading partners and his country was ready to "separate" ties with the US. Just like the mouthbreathers here, his supporters took to the streets and demanded the US leave immediately. Then, after what was certain calls to him from the State department explaining to him the economic ramifications from such a move, and after realizing they were right, he suddenly said he was "just kidding." Who does that remind you of?

9)The NFL- Roger Goodell is killing this sport with his idiocy. First, he sidelined the MOST popular man in the sport for four weeks over a pointless and scientifically unsound reason. He scheduled the best games on Sunday or Thursday nights, so fewer people watched on Sunday. One of the biggest issues has been the terrible refereeing which is going on at least three years at this point. How hard is it to solve that issue? The biggest reason may be the protests being led by Kaepernick which are turning off viewers in droves. The continuing expansion of teams is also depleting teams of good players, a fact I noticed years ago and still the slide continues. Goodell is NOT the man to fix this anymore than Trump would be for president. How do we constantly get the worst people running things lately?

8)Anti-pot ads- Here in MA, weed looks certain to pass by an overwhelming vote which is good news for the state. It will raise money, create thousands of good paying jobs and slash police budgets already struggling with these pointless arrests. But because Big Pharma, Alcohol and Tobacco all know their profits will suffer if this goes national have pulled out all the stops in anti-weed ads. The best part about them is not only are they not likley to be paid any attention to, they are also unintentionally hilarious. One that is playing here has a woman and her kid driving around as all the stores are pot shops with zombie like drug addicts everywhere. She stops and they get out, her child attracted to the pot candy in the window. Just then her obviously underage son walks out of the store with a bong and some munchies. First off, you have to be 21 to buy pot so this would never happen. Second, evidence from places that have already legalized weed have seen none of the fear-mongering and have actually had higher tax revenues than estimated and thousands of less people dying from opiates.This ad is just the latest scare tactic that no one believes anymore.

7)AT&T Merger- One of the things I agree with Trump on is that the merger of AT&T with Time Warner should be stopped by anti-trust laws that the Obama administration has been less than successful at. They have stopped just a handful of mega-mergers during his time, the worst being the consolidation of airlines which have raised prices even as gas has hot record lows. This would give this company a near monopoly on cable and satellite services and lead to even higher cable prices, which are already the highest on Earth. This cannot continue and Trump is actually right here. That's scary.

6)Inflation rates- The government is giving Social Security another thumb in the eye with an average of four dollars a month more. Wheeeeee. According to them, the inflation rate was .3% for 2016. How the FUCK is that possible? It isn't and I can prove it with just health insurance alone. This coming year, inflation rates for many health care planes is over 50%. Mine was. So tens of millions of people saw a huge jump in their rates, yet the government is saying that health care costs are only going to go up less than 2%. Where?! The inflation rate is a joke and their own numbers betray them. They do this to cheat people out of the money they owe. You're being robbed.

5)James O'Keefe- I hate this asshole. His bullshit videos took down ACORN which some idiots still think exists. A recent document, allegedly from the DNC, has a list of donors they were bribing and the top line says ACORN got half a million. Too bad they went under years ago thanks to this ass. That document screams fake. This moron edits his videos to portray things that didn't happen and then gets the gullible out there to buy into it. His latest hit piece was a video that allegedly showed Clinton operatives sending thugs to a Trump rally. Considering the source. I wouldn't believe any of it. Trump supporters got caught red handed faking a video of five black guys destroying a car with Trump stickers on it, unaware that the whole thing was also being filmed by bystanders who saw the whole thing as staged. These videos are far from accurate and should be ignored.

4)Hillary Clinton- She's in the home stretch and will almost certainly be out next president. I am not thrilled by that prospect but she is hands down better than Trump. I still think she will pivot back to the TPP when she gets into office, a fact her running mate confirmed on Meet the Press today. There has also been some rumors of her cheating at the last debate and I have to admit, I noticed some of it as well, but the answers are more vague than the Clinton haters say. During the debate, Hillary kept looking down at the podium A LOT and there was a weird light on her podium that was not on Trump's. I am not saying she cheated, but I am saying it was odd that she appeared to be reading off her podium which could have been notes she took or a teleprompter. Either way, we will never know.

3)Rigged elections- Trump is not wrong about elections being rigged. They have been. 2004 in Ohio was stolen for Bush as 250,000 more votes than people who exist in Cuyahoga county all went red. Three people actually went to jail over this and to this day, this story is more or less scrubbed from the internet. I have found it in local newspapers and that's about it. The democratic primaries were certainly rigged for Hillary, who I have said since before all of this even started, she has been the chosen one and that was that. But the biggest rigging was the Republicans when they gerrymandered the hell of the country in 2010 and have kept the House in power because of that. That's how to rig elections by disenfranchising voters, demanding ID laws and other things that depress votes against you.

2)Donald Trump- Another debate, another flame out. Once again he started strong and then a half hour in he went off the rails. He called Mexicans "bad hombres," interrupted Clinton constantly, and even called her "a nasty woman." His low point was when he refused to say he would recognize the election results, unless of course he somehow wins, and then he would be fine with it. This made even Fox News go nuts and was the moment, he officially lost the election. Because of his plummeting numbers, the Senate now looks likely to go blue as well as he is taking everyone down with him. The fact an 11th woman, porn star Jessica Drake, has come forward and said not only did he grope her, but offered her $10,000 to sleep with him, doesn't help. Yuck. His problems are just starting as he still faces RICO charges for Trump U, which carries triple penalties, meaning he could lose hundreds of millions of dollars in this case alone. He is also facing civil charges for raping a 13 year old girl. Lastly, his brand has been universally damaged with his hotel losing patronages and other businesses taking his name off the buildings. Good luck post election dick.

1)John McCain- This giant asshole should be kicked out of office for refusing to do his job. Recently, he said that he would never vote for a Supreme Court justice as long as Hillary is president. ARE YOU FUCKING KIDDING ME? Try this at work tomorrow. Go in and say you are refusing to do part of your job because you don't feel like it. See how long that lasts before you get fired. Why can't do the same to this old fart? Because morons are voting for this giant douche for reasons that escape me. Obstructionism has led to almost a hundred federal judges not getting appointed leading to all sorts of court problems. The Supreme Court will soon cease to function at all if people keep dropping out and no replacements are ever allowed. If the Senate goes blue, and with any luck this fuckwad on then unemployment line, hopefully the Democrats will go nuclear and change the rules to a simple up and down vote and then put Obama in just to thumb their nose at them. I would laugh for weeks of that happens. Please vote against this douche whose positions change with the wind. Congratulations McCain you are indeed douchebag of the week.

DONALD TRUMP DOES THE IMPOSSIBLE AND KNOCKS HIMSELF OUT IN LAST NIGHT'S DEBATE!

I have been watching presidential debates since I was a teen and last night I saw something I never thought I'd see: a candidate tripping over his own dick and face planting hard. He has three moments that will play poorly these last few weeks, all but cementing what is going to be a historic loss. He began his plummet to the bottom when he said his first words in Spanish, which unfortunately was also a slur, when he called some illegal immigrants "bad hombres." You can guess how well this went over with Latinos. Then, his big, big, BIG mistake came when he idiotically refused to say whether he would accept losing the race, which is going to, setting the stage for a possible end of democracy moment. Lastly, for the cherry on top, during an exchange when Hillary was talking about protecting Social Security, he decided to interject that she was a "nasty woman." That did not play out with women and the rest, and Trump, is history.

There is near a 100% chance of Hillary winning this thing, short of the biggest October Surprise of all times which is, and even if it did happen, it probably would still not be enough to give him the win at this point. He is toxic, damaged goods and may drag the Senate and House down with him. Any Republican running is going to be inundated with questions from reporters asking about their support or lack there of, neither of which is a good answer, while also fighting off whether they will recognize the election or not. Trump supporters and the GOP elite are not in step with one another and either side could become so disgusted with their choices, they stay home or vote against the Republican candidate out of spite, where there is some evidence this is happening in places like Arizona and NC. No matter how you slice it, this ends badly for Republicans.

Many are bringing up the false equivalent of Gore challenging the election in 2000. That happened because the margin was razor thin in many places, and as Florida was make or break for them both, had to come to court challenges. The Supreme Court screwed us when they picked Bush as the winner for no legal reasons and allowed two judges, Scalia and Thomas, to vote even though both had financial or personal interests in getting Bush elected. It is for that very reason that no sitting Justice should ever recuse themselves from any case no matter how biased it looks as the Republican ones NEVER do but scream bloody murder if the other side doesn't. Grow a set and tell them fuck off next time. The point of this was, after Gore lost, he conceded even though he had reason to fight on had he chosen to.

Kerry in 2004 noticed irregularities in Ohio, which was stolen from Kerry as later results showed, but he also backed down for the good of the country. I actually wish he had fought a little harder on this one because the voter fraud in this instance was blatant. But he didn't and the country moved on. Trump is not going to let this go until there is no where else for him to go. However, if the backlash starts affecting his brand, as signs already point to problems in some of his five star hotels that the rich and famous are avoiding now, this could lead to disaster down the road for the orange hued nightmare.

Contrary to right wing myth, the last two elections were dead on with exit polls and other stats. Nobody cheated to get Obama elected. They won't rig an election they know is going their way so why bother. This election will be no different. Other than what is always a few suspicious maneuvers, that may or may not be intentional, this election will match perfectly with the exit polls as Trump is going to lose and lose badly. How badly you ask? Hillary is now running ads in Utah, where she is tied, Arizona, where she is ahead and Alaska and Texas, where she is slightly behind. That is not good news if you are a Republican who can see that chances are good a lot of states Romney won easily in 2012, Trump may lose in 2016.

If the election was held today chances are good that the Electoral College would be Hillary 368 to Trump's 170. Ouch. To put that in perspective, Obama got 332 to Romney's 206. That is a landslide win and gives Hillary a mandate, and hopefully a blue House and Senate, and maybe, just maybe, we can get some stuff done that the GOP has dragged their feet for decades on. History shows democrats grow the economy better than Republicans so here's hoping that stat continues.

HOW THIS ELECTION IS LIKELY TO TURN OUT AND WHY I WAS RIGHT MORE THAN A YEAR AGO!

This election has gone almost exactly as I predicted, thus the reason I get paid the big bucks to accurately guess the spread in such instances. Right now, Hillary is almost certain to win and the chances of democrats regaining the Senate look good as Nevada, Illinois, Indiana and Wisconsin seems likely to flip blue and PA, NH, NC and even Missouri are still too close to call but could go blue as well. Any four of those and Hillary winning and they recapture the Senate.

The bigger question is "will it matter?" I said from day one that Trump cannot lose graciously and there is little reason to believe he will now. He is already whipping his crowds into a frenzy with talk of rigged elections and how the election is being stolen from him. A new poll said 41% of the country believes him which is dangerous for democracy. The funny part is Trump is not wrong about our elections being suspect, because they are, but not in this case as I could run dead Hitler versus Trump and still win. He keeps opening his mouth and, as a result, is bathing in Ted Cruz strength, people repellent. They don't need to steal this election, as it doesn't happen every time. I'd know. 2000 and 2004 were very suspect, yet not so much in 2008 or 2012. If the person the powers that be want, in this case there is no doubt that the elites and the smarter of mankind want the same thing as the Trumpster fire will burn us all down, then Hillary can win without cheating. It would be hilarious for him to scream about being cheated out of the election when the results show the same results as non-modified exit polls.

But as science is not most people's strong suit, chances are they will believe the election stolen regardless of facts. This could lead to all sorts of problems. We already saw it during Trump rallies where people are beaten for their views. This has led to an us versus them mentality that directly led to the burning of a GOP headquarters in NC along with a statement about them being Nazis spray painted on a nearby building. People are becoming unglued. The election is only bringing out some very ugly aspects of American life on both sides.

The right is filled with uneducated dullards too stupid too vote anymore. If you putting people back into office like McCain, Grassley, Schultz and other fools responsible for all the problems we are having in this world, you are too dumb to vote anymore. The Senate is filled with corporatists who are actively working against the country and everyone in it, yet we keep putting these seem idiots back in and nothing gets done. It's a vicious circle we could stop yet choose not to.

I choose to vote blue not because I think they are going to fix everything, but at least some good will come from it. What benefit has anyone gotten from the Republicans that didn't solely affect either religious beliefs of rich people? Zero. Yet, non college educated rednecks keep voting for them. Trump has said some truly vile things and no one seems to care. Why you ask? Because Trump is no longer running for President. He is leading a cult.

And to quote In The Mouth of Madness: "When does fiction become religion? And are his supporters dangerous?" They are. Way too many seem nonchalant about Trump's groping, yet are venomous about Bill Clinton and his far less believable accusers. They seems to hate black people, Mexicans, Muslims, women and pretty much anyone who isn't a white male. Part of that is from watching a culture constantly berate them for things they might never have done, as white males are the only group it seems legal to discriminate against. Another part is the revulsion to PC nonsense and anti-gun stances that will not make us safer. These people may be lowlifes in many ways, but just because they aren't book smart doesn't make them all idiots. However, even I have to admit listening to interviews with many of them  at Trump rallies that a lot seem to have single digits IQ's. Their reasoning for Trump is flawed beyond words and they would be having Brexit like regrets if this man actually won, which at this point is highly unlikely.

But what happens when they lose? Chaos most likely. For those of you waiting and praying for the election to be over on the 8th, I kind of doubt that will happen. Trump will scream foul at the top of his lungs, challenge every close battleground state he can, in court, which could mead to all sorts of issues once people realize that some states do not have paper ballots. The term trust me won't work here with zealous worshipers of Trump lathered in a frenzy. Plus, if this goes all the way to the Supreme Court, what happens if they deadlock four to four? What then? This could set off a crisis the likes of which we have never seen.

His supporters will most likely already be a pain in the ass at some of the polling places, walking around armed and stupid. When they lose, do you think they will just go away? More likely those same people will do the same around Democratic headquarters and institutions, just as armed and stupid. And as we saw in NC, the left isn't going to be all sorts of happy with that and attack Republican sites as well. Can you say civil war?

Anyway you look at it, Hillary is going to be president, the senate is probably going to go blue and the House will net the democrats around 20 new seats, not enough to control it, but getting there. Hang on people, this ride is just getting started.