You can tell Spring is coming soon as, like clockwork, the Middle East again looks like a gateway to WW3. Israel has struck targets deep in Syrian territory after satellite photos showed Russian SA-17 missiles being delivered across the Lebanese border and, ultimately to Hezbollah. The Syrians claim a "military research" base near the border was also destroyed and has been independently confirmed as of this writing. The strike was also seen as a warning that Israel will not tolerate any chemical or biological weapons transfers.
The reactions by the world was swift and immediate. Armed forces across the region. including the Americans and Russians, all went into high alert as war could break out at any minute. The Russians had this to say:
“Such action if confirmed would amount to unacceptable military interference in
the war-ravaged country,” said the statement issued by the Russian Foreign
Ministry Thursday. “If this information is confirmed, then we are dealing with
unprovoked attacks on targets on the territory of a sovereign country, which
blatantly violate the UN Charter and is unacceptable, no matter the motives to
justify it.”
Will this start a war? Unlikely. For now. But this kind of thing is going to happen with more frequency as both Egypt and Syria are falling apart at the seams and both have excellent weaponry that, if in the wrong hands, could turn against Israeli or US interests. We are on a collusion course with Iran, as there is no way they are going to give up their nuke program, and there is no way Israel will allow that to happen.
Speaking of Iran, the IEAE of the UN said they had no confirmation of an explosion at the Fordo nuke plant and there has been little talk anywhere of follow ups so far. This story could still be true but at this point, we may not know for some time. I will keep you informed as more information becomes available.
Egypt has become a free for all as the curfews in places like Port Said were ignored by EVERYONE and the riots continue. Politicians from all sides have asked for peace but they may have opened a can of worms that is not going to go back to normal so easily. More than 60 people so far have died in the rioting.
Even Saudi Arabia is not in the clear as US officials are worried that if the monarchy falls, what will replace it will be very anti-American and threaten US interests, the worst of which would be oil embargoes or price hikes. Considering that a majority of people there practice Wahhabism, one of the most fundamental versions of Islam, that is not such a stretch to imagine. Protesters are cropping up more and more. In 2011, the King paid the protesters a good sum of money to leave, which they did. When they returned later that year, five died and many more injured when troops fired on the crowd. First you get the carrot, then you get the stick.
BREAKING:News has just surfaced that both Syria and Iran are threatening to retaliate for the Israeli air strike. Syria has said that Damascus "has the option and the capacity to surprise in retaliation." He did not elaborate. Last week, Iran said to the Mehr news agency that any attack of Syria would be an attack on Iran. Today they said the strike would have serious repercussions on Tel Aviv.
Hezbollah also called the attack a "barbaric aggression" which is funny coming from a group of terrorists who routinely kill innocent people. Russia said it appeared to be an unprovoked attack on a sovereign nation and said it is taking "urgent measures to clarify the situation in all its details."The Arab League called the strike a "flagrant aggression and a glaring violation" of Syria’s sovereignty, as reported by Haaretz.
Let's all hope that this doesn't end as badly as it might.
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