Hurricane Irma came and went and with it my faith in this country's ability to predict the weather anymore. It's not like we didn't see this coming as I warned about this decades ago in college as we seemed to be spending less and less on weather forecasting and more and more on weapons, most of which don't seem to work. The F-35 has been in development for years and still has problems, costing taxpayers trillions for a plane that hasn't flown one combat mission in a decade. While we have upgraded our satellites last year after decades of neglect, recent upgrades to our hurricane forecasting have proven to be less than stellar with recent failures for tracking Irma and Harvey. In both cases the European model was far closer to what the correct track, with the US model failing at just about every juncture for Irma.
What exactly went wrong? I have some knowledge of meteorology, weather patterns, and the like so I can read the data the NOAA and others put out and can estimate a rough path knowing what I know about the elements. When I then watched what the news and weather services were saying, I kept finding myself not agreeing with their results. Hurricane Irma's most likely path was into the Gulf and up through the west side of Florida, cutting through the Keys and impacting somewhere near the Everglades. The European model showed that seven days out. The American version had it taking a sharp right before hitting Florida and possibly impacting higher. I could find no reason for why this would happen as a high pressure system was almost certain to push it further south, which is exactly what happened. This was common knowledge to all so why the giant fuckup?
Apparently, the hurricane forecasting system was recently upgraded to "better forecast" them, but recent data suggests they actually made it worse. Sometimes, too much data can have a bad effect, especially if chance probabilities that have zero chance in real world actions are added which some think make the program better but in reality thrown a wrench into the gears. All probabilities are not equal and when you program something to think they are, things that could never happen, like a hurricane turning into, instead of away, from a high pressure system, become a reality. Why no one noticed this is beyond me?
We also kept hearing about this storm surge that was going to to inundate the western coast of Florida but then it not only didn't happen, instead of storm surge, the water left Tampa Bay and the Bahamas instead. Again, physics come into play. The western side of Florida will see water pulled away from the initial headwall significantly and then, if the track of the storm starts to rapidly diminish as it did once it ran into Florida, the back end of the storm wasn't nearly powerful enough to have a rapid storm surge, which we would have known had their technology been actually better and not guess work that they made it. The storm surge from the back half of the storm, I was highly skeptical of and was proven correct. So either news played the storm up for ratings, which worked something fierce, or our forecasting for hurricanes is piss poor. The truth is it is probably both.
Contrary to what the climate change deniers are telling you, weather IS getting more and more extreme. This is just a smattering of what is going on right now: the West coast is on fire, Texas and Florida are under water, Mexico just had the biggest earthquake in a hundred years. India floods killed thousands, parts of Europe are under sweltering heat they have dubbed "Lucifer," and a giant solar flare that may black out parts of the planet. Over the last year there has been ten, billion dollar plus disasters and it's not even half way through September. We used to average six, but since 2012, weather catastrophes have near doubled in frequency. Everything we said about climate change is coming true. You can't stick your head in the sand any longer.
Today is also the anniversary of 9/11. I will admit, a lot of what you hear about 9/11 from conspiracy theorists is bull shit. My favorites are there were no planes, only holograms, or that Israel was behind it. However, there are some factors that still make me question the official theory and with good reason. According to the 9/11 commission, which had to be made by dragging Republicans kicking and screaming, the military lied to the about the sequence of events, confirmed by FAA documents that had been ominously ordered destroyed but kept anyway and discredited the military's sworn statements. Recommendations for prosecution was given to the Pentagon and was never followed up on. Why? Why did Dick Cheney order a stand down for defenses when a plane was headed toward DC as confirmed by Norman Minetta? How did WTC-7 fall as NO scientist on earth has a verifiable scientific explanation for it? Why did WTC 1 and 2 fall as no skyscraper before or since has collapsed in a similar fashion even if hit by a plane or on fire?
I usually debunk conspiracies except for these ones:
The assassination of JFK- I can prove he was killed by more than one shooter by just showing the Zapruder film. The evidence is rock solid here and anyone can see it for themselves that at least four bullets are fired at the motorcade proving a second shooter. Watch Connely's hat and demeanor when the bullets fly. He is not hit when they say he was and held on to a hat with a shattered wrist, an impossibility.
The assassination of RFK- Siran Sriran may have been programmed to kill Kennedy.
The assassination of MLK- James Earl Ray could never have made that shot they say he did, was so obviously set up and Ray's testimony years after his death proved to be true about FBI contacts and the like.
The downing of TWA-800- This plane was shot down by a missile as confirmed by CBS news who tried to bury the story and got the journalist arrested who discovered it. My first view that the media could not be trusted to report the truth. Hundreds of highly qualified eye witnesses disputed the government's story which upon reflection, was so stupid I am stunned anyone bought it.
Oklahoma City Bombing- I know this didn't happen the way it said it did as top demolition experts all said that bomb could not have done that damage to the Murray building. I helped identify John Doe 2, who the FBI said never existed, but I knew as the grandson of the guy running a white militia group called Elhoim City, who also had ties to Tim McVeigh AND the the FBI, who also had informants inside. Nothing weird about that right? A lot of people died under mysterious circumstances afterward which led to an ongoing criminal case in which the FBI is alleged to have murdered an innocent man as well as they guy they were actually looking for, who had ties to McVeigh and Nickels.
Syrian gas attacks- Both attacks have serious problems with their legitimacy and appear to be false flags.
Our elections- Rigged. Nuff said.
That is pretty much it. 9/11 truthers get a lot of flack and not without good reason as some of what they proclaim is retarded. But there are a LOT of unanswered questions that are no so easily swept under the rug. We should demand a new inquiry to get to the bottom of all of this because these are undermining our democracy. We won't because idiot America is too obsessed over what new slight they can blow up out of proportion while the stuff we need to fix gets ignored.
Monday, September 11, 2017
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