Beasts of the Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
Argo has all the momentum and easily one of the best pictures nominated. Expect this one to win. All of the films here deserve to be nominated, a rarity as there is always one stinker in the bunch.
Another no brainer as Daniel Day Lewis will win for Lincoln. Everyone else can shred their speech as they have zero chance of giving one.
A toss up between Chastain and Lawerence but I have a feeling Lawrence will win in a close race. Zero Dark Thirty pissed off the liberal crowd with the graphic torture scenes that have garnered some suspicion as to whether they were effective or not and that alone may cost Chastain the Oscar. Many have questioned why Naomi Watts is here at all, so that nod has no chance. Wallis is too young. Riva is a dark horse who may pull an upset but that is a long shot at best.
Best Supporting Actor
This could go any which way as different people have won different awards leading up to the Oscars. Hoffman seems unlikely as does Waltz, who just won a couple years back. It's a three way horse race between Arkin, De Nero and Jones, but I give the edge to Jones with Arkin a close second if people thought Argo was snubbed for director. De Nero was good in Silver Linings Playbook but I don't see him winning here.
Best Supporting Actor
I expect Hathaway to win this hands down. Helen Hunt could be a dark horse for her performance that required her to be completely naked at 50 and still look hot.
Affleck would have won had the Academy actually nominated him with only Haneke being the "WTF is that guy doing in this category" nominee. Spielberg will win with Ang Lee a possible upset. The rest are happy to be nominated in what is constantly the worst nominations every year. I swear the people who get nominated in this category are always not nearly as good as people left off.
Best Animated Feature
Brave has no business being here and I hope to God it does not win. ParaNorman was great and I am rooting for that but I have a feeling it will between Frankenweenie and Wreck it Ralph with the latter taking home the prize.
Argo wins this one hands down although Life of Pi was equally fantastic an adaptation and may be a surprise winner.
Quentin Tarintino wins if the Academy members can stand the word "nigger" being used a zillion times. If not, Zero Dark Thirty will win, regardless of the torture flap.
Music and Lyric by J. Ralph
Music by Walter Murphy; Lyric by Seth MacFarlane
Music by Mychael Danna; Lyric by Bombay Jayashri
Music and Lyric by Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth
Music by Claude-Michel Schönberg; Lyric by Herbert Kretzmer and Alain Boublil
For the first time in a long while, the songs nominated don't suck hard. Adele wins easily here.
As for the rest of the awards, who cares. Let's see how right I am Monday morning.